UPDATE: So you just calculated that our CO2 level is actually 404 plus 434
(methane equivalent?) 838 ppm CO2 equivalent right now? Holy bonkers.
And yet you are just some poster on youtube - how come you have not
received the Nobel Prize? Is Michael Mann completely brainwashed?
Apparently yes. No wonder the Arctic temps are skyrocketing higher than
machines can even register! https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/arctic-temperatures-rising-fast-reported-false_us_5a316487e4b07ff75affaa1f
Having gotten a master's degree at a Big 10 research university where I
exposed the 300 corporations controlling research - I can assure you
that professors are completely corrupted by imperialist propaganda. they
do not connect the dots, do not speak out, etc. It's just a cake-walk
for these "salaried sell outs."
According to NATURE journal we have "3 years" to act fast to keep temps
below the 1.5 C. According to "The Arctic this past year set all time
records for
the amount of warming that happened up there. It was for the whole
winter for 2015-16 almost 5ºC warmer than usual. That is a ridiculously
warm Arctic that we saw.
And that was combined with
global record temperatures as well, pushing that 1.5ºC threshold that
the Paris Accord has set as the ideal place to stop. The globe as a
whole is already bumping up against that. Dr Jennifer Francis, a
research professor at Rutgers University's Institute of Marine and
Coastal Sciences, http://envisionation.co.uk/index.php/nick-breeze/210-weather-agriculture-jennifer-francis
Finally a MAINSTREAM SCIENTIST ADMITS WE'VE ALREADY HIT 1.5 "the goal of the Paris Accords"
.................................................
So I emailed Gavin Schmidt the current top NASA global warming scientist. He is quoted in a mainstream science article stating we currently have 1 degree Celsius increase in warming. So I sent him data stating actually the warming is over 1.5 degree C. already!! He said that was just an arctic anomaly. So I went back to confirm what he told me. Nope it is the global average. So I dig more - what is the discrepancy about? I find a Canadian scientist who says that this 1 degree C is because the mainstream scientists are only using 1951 as their baseline!! So I email back Gavin - no response. So I dig more. Sure enough I find a Scientific American article that states exactly that - NASA uses 1951 as their baseline for global temperature increases even though industrial-based global warming has been going on since coal was introduced in the 1760s. And so I email Gavin about that SciAm article - no response. This is quite shocking.
1
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So I emailed Gavin Schmidt the current top NASA global warming scientist. He is quoted in a mainstream science article stating we currently have 1 degree Celsius increase in warming. So I sent him data stating actually the warming is over 1.5 degree C. already!! He said that was just an arctic anomaly. So I went back to confirm what he told me. Nope it is the global average. So I dig more - what is the discrepancy about? I find a Canadian scientist who says that this 1 degree C is because the mainstream scientists are only using 1951 as their baseline!! So I email back Gavin - no response. So I dig more. Sure enough I find a Scientific American article that states exactly that - NASA uses 1951 as their baseline for global temperature increases even though industrial-based global warming has been going on since coal was introduced in the 1760s. And so I email Gavin about that SciAm article - no response. This is quite shocking.
Gavin Schmidt. Director, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. Dr. Schmidt develops large-scale numerical simulations to study climate change. Climate ...
Gavin A. Schmidt is a climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the award winning climate science blog RealClimateGavin Schmidt - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Schmidt
voidisyinyang voidisyinyang1 day ago
So according to Paul Beckwith (youtube) - the ONLY way the mainstream science
can claim a 1 degree C increase is by using 1951 as the baseline!! As he
details in that vid. Dear Dr. Schmidt Is this compared to the
1951-1980 average as your baseline? "Including 2016
and working with the other major global temperature datasets can
increase that number to about 1.0 or even 1.1 degree Celsius." thanks,
drew
6:10 PM (0 minutes ago)
to Gavin
Sure Enuf - Paul Beckwith is CORRECT! Why are the 2 top science U.S. agencies using 1951 as the baseline for global temp increase?!!! That's totally corrupt. Earth Flirts with a 1.5-Degree Celsius Global Warming Threshold .
..https://www.scientificamerican.com/.../earth-flirts-with-a-1-5-degree-celsius-global-wa...Apr 20, 2016 - NASA reports global temperature change in reference to a 1951-1980 climate baseline, and NOAA reports the anomaly in reference to a 20th century average temperature. NASA's data alone showed a February temperature anomaly of 1.63°C above early industrial levels with March at 1.54°C. Calculating ...
Earth is warming 50x faster than when it comes out of an ice age ...https://www.theguardian.com › Environment ›
Climate changeFeb 24, 2016 - We're already warming the Earth about 20 times faster than during the ice age transition, and over the next century that rate could increase to 50 times faster or more. We're in ... And unlike many news organisations, we haven't put up a paywall – we want to keep our journalism as open as we can. So you ...Arctic climate warming higher and faster than expected
Added Arctic data shows global warming didn't pause - Phys.org https://phys.org › Earth › EnvironmentNov 20, 2017 - Compared with the newly estimated global warming rate of 0.130 C per decade, the Arctic has warmed more than five time the global average," said Zhang. ... To improve the dataset in time and space, the team relied on temperature data collected from the International Arctic Buoy Program at the University ..
Continuously Amplified Warming in the Alaskan Arctic: Implications for Estimating Global Warming Hiatus AuthorsKang Wang, Tingjun Zhang, Xiangdong Zhang, Gary D. Clow, Elchin E. Jafarov, Irina Overeem, Vladimir Romanovsky, Xiaoqing Peng, Bin CaoPublication date2017JournalGeophys. Res. Lett.
O.K. so that's a PDF link. I just downloaded it.
It says there should be TWICE as many buoys than currently exist to get accurate Arctic temperature readings - in other words it says we need 60 buoys - not 30.
The magnitude of past abrupt climate change events around the planet may have been underestimated, according to a major international study led by a scientist based at NUI Galway.
“Abrupt climate events that occurred during the last interglacial [warm] period, circa 125,000 years ago, have underestimated [temperature rise] by up to 4 degrees,” said lead author Dr Audrey Morley from NUIG school of geography and archaeology.
A paleo-perspective on ocean heat content: Lessons ... - ScienceDirect
Jan 1, 2017 - Over long time periods the ocean's interior acts like a capacitor and builds up large (positive and negative) heat anomalies that can mitigate or amplify ..
The new research suggests that the oceans hundreds of millions of years ago were much cooler than we thought. If true, that means that the global warming we are currently undergoing is unparallelled within the last 100 million years, and far worse than we had previously calculated.
http://www.independent.co.uk/
Politics - CBC ...www.cbc.ca/news/politics/arctic-climate-warming-ice-report-1.4083728Apr 24, 2017 - "For example, last fall in November-December, the temperature at the North Pole was 32 degrees Fahrenheit higher than it should have been in November-December, because one of these lobes had extended all the way to the North Pole and was drawing up warm weather from California," said Barber.
The Arctic is leaking methane 200 times faster than usual | Daily Mail ...www.dailymail.co.uk/.../article.../The-Arctic-leaking-methane-200-times-faster-usual-...Jul 22, 2016 - The Arctic is leaking methane 200 times faster than usual: Massive release of gas is creating giant holes and 'trembling tundras'. Russian ... 'An early theory is that warm summer heat has melted the permafrost causing the release of long-frozen gases,'The Siberian Times reported. The newspaper was the ... That all looks bad right? But NONE of it covers the recent news that the arctic is heating up five times faster - those links all say the arctic is heating up 2 times faster. So I change the search from 5 to five - maybe that does it. Nope. So getting pissed this is what I search: rate of temperature arctic buoys five times gauges F
As Natalia Shakhova states - EVERY YEAR COUNTS and could release a Methane Bomb.
So GEE's (guy Mcpherson) big point is once the arctic albedo is gone - that's another what? .65 temperature increase - conservatively. Then you have arctic methane - potentially 50 gigatons - another 2 degree temperature increase. Then you have arctic CO2 from permafrost melting.
Tundra loses carbon with rapid permafrost thaw - Phys.orghttps://phys.org › Earth › EnvironmentSep 7, 2017 - Artistic interpretation of tundra carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake and loss with permafrost thaw and accounting for CO2 dynamics in the summer and winter. Credit: Victor Leshyk. Frozen in permafrost soil, northern latitudes store almost twice as much carbon as is currently in the atmosphere. Rapid Arctic ...
So that Chukchi Sea is between Alaska and Russia. I'm used to looking at Alaska from the lower 48!! haha. Peter Wadhams on details of how the ice thickness is only half of what is was - and so the area is dramatically dropping -
Politics - CBC ...www.cbc.ca/news/politics/arctic-climate-warming-ice-report-1.4083728Apr 24, 2017 - "For example, last fall in November-December, the temperature at the North Pole was 32 degrees Fahrenheit higher than it should have been in November-December, because one of these lobes had extended all the way to the North Pole and was drawing up warm weather from California," said Barber.
The Arctic is leaking methane 200 times faster than usual | Daily Mail ...www.dailymail.co.uk/.../article.../The-Arctic-leaking-methane-200-times-faster-usual-...Jul 22, 2016 - The Arctic is leaking methane 200 times faster than usual: Massive release of gas is creating giant holes and 'trembling tundras'. Russian ... 'An early theory is that warm summer heat has melted the permafrost causing the release of long-frozen gases,'The Siberian Times reported. The newspaper was the ... That all looks bad right? But NONE of it covers the recent news that the arctic is heating up five times faster - those links all say the arctic is heating up 2 times faster. So I change the search from 5 to five - maybe that does it. Nope. So getting pissed this is what I search: rate of temperature arctic buoys five times gauges F
As Natalia Shakhova states - EVERY YEAR COUNTS and could release a Methane Bomb.
Dr. Natalia Shakhova:Release of Arctic Methane "May Be Apocalyptic," Study Warns - Truthout
www.truth-out.org/.../39957-release-of-arctic-methane-may-be-apocalyptic-study-war...Mar 23, 2017 - In 2015, Truthout spoke with Natalia Shakhova, a research associate professor at the University of Alaska, Fairbanks' International Arctic Research Center, about the ESAS's methane emissions. "These emissions are prone to be non-gradual (massive, abrupt) for a variety of reasons," she told Truthout. Jun 24, 2017 - Degradation of the subsea permafrost in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf causing massive methane release - Natalia Shakhova interview. ... It is the behaviour of this permafrost that has occupied Dr Shakhova and Dr Semiletov in their studies of the ESAS because beneath it is the largest pool of methane gas .Subsea permafrost on East Siberian Arctic Shelf in accelerated decline
envisionation.co.uk/.../203-subsea-permafrost-on-east-siberian-arctic-shelf-now-in-ac...
free gas has accumulated for hundreds of thousands, or even for a million years. This is why the amount of this gas and its power in releasing (due to its high pressure) is tremendous.
That would allow large releases of methane and whatever you call it - outburst, bomb, or whatever, I see no point to say no to such a possibility. I’m afraid to say yes because we still have to learn so much about the mechanism.
a linear trend becomes exponential.
This edge between it being linear and becoming exponential is very fine and lays between frozen and thawed states of subsea permafrost. This is what we call the turning point. To me, I cannot take the responsibility in saying there is a right point between the linear and exponential yet, but following the logic of our investigation and all the evidence that we accumulated so far, it makes me think that we are very near this point. And in this particular point, each year matters.
This is the big difference between being on the linear trend where hundreds and thousands of years matter, and being on the exponential where each year matters.
the layer of hydrates composes just few hundred of meters – this is a very small fraction compared to thousands of meters of underlying gas-charged sediments in the ESAS.
Dr. Semiletov added that the 5 billion tonnes of methane that is currently in the Earth’s atmosphere represents about one percent of the frozen methane hydrate store in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. He finishes emphasising “…but we believe the hydrate pool is only a tiny fraction of the total.”
As gas within the sedimentary basins of the ESAS have been accumulating for a million years with no way to be released earlier, the supply for currently occurring emissions is tremendous. Because the shelf area is very shallow (mean depth is less than 50 metres), a fraction of these emissions will reach the atmosphere. The problem is that this fraction would be enough to alter the climate on our planet drastically.
Public Release:
Russian scientists deny climate model of IPCC
Earlier it was believed that the bulk of subsea permafrost in the ESAS is continuous that eliminates the destabilization of a giant pool of lower-laying methane hydrates. According to the model estimates of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), until the end of the 21st century the degradation of permafrost in the ESAS cannot exceed several meters and the formation of through taliks will take hundreds or thousands of years that eliminates the opportunity of massive methane (CH4) emissions from the bottom sediments of the ESAS into water column - atmosphere system due to the destruction of hydrates. Thus the IPCC considers the potential contribution of the ESAS into the emissions of CH4 as insignificant. The paper shows that the model is not really correct.
"In 1982-1983, the Permafrost Research Institute of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences drilled four wells, and based on this data we found that the rate of vertical underwater permafrost degradation in the area has gone up to 18 centimeters per year (14 centimeters on average) in the past 30 years, which is ten times faster than expected," the press service said.Shakhova interview youtube
A comment: Consider just ONE gigaton, or just one/fiftieth, emitted over just one year. Multiplying one gigaton by 100 would give us 100 gigatons of CO2 equivalent. Adding a 100 gigaton equivalent to our total world CO2 production of 38 gigatons = 138 gigatons of CO2. The CO2 total almost quadruples from just ONE gigaton methane release. Big trouble for Planet Methane.Shakhova interview - (different) the ice was supposed to be 2 meters thick but only 40 centimeters. The methane bomb could release in 5 years - this was in 2013 - 4 years ago!
So GEE's (guy Mcpherson) big point is once the arctic albedo is gone - that's another what? .65 temperature increase - conservatively. Then you have arctic methane - potentially 50 gigatons - another 2 degree temperature increase. Then you have arctic CO2 from permafrost melting.
Tundra loses carbon with rapid permafrost thaw - Phys.orghttps://phys.org › Earth › EnvironmentSep 7, 2017 - Artistic interpretation of tundra carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake and loss with permafrost thaw and accounting for CO2 dynamics in the summer and winter. Credit: Victor Leshyk. Frozen in permafrost soil, northern latitudes store almost twice as much carbon as is currently in the atmosphere. Rapid Arctic ...
November 2017 will be remembered not for total Arctic ice extent, which was the third lowest recorded over the period of satellite observations, but for the record low extent in the Chukchi Sea. This is a key area for Arctic Ocean access, and is an indicator of oceanographic influences on sea ice extent.http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
So that Chukchi Sea is between Alaska and Russia. I'm used to looking at Alaska from the lower 48!! haha. Peter Wadhams on details of how the ice thickness is only half of what is was - and so the area is dramatically dropping -
